LEVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LEVI - Levi Strauss & Co. Class A Common Stock

APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
$18.04
-0.23 (-1.23%) ▼
5d: -3.14%
30d: -18.61%
90d: -14.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 07, 2026 7d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEVI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.48
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.17
10.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LEVI is currently trading at $18.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.04 to $21.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LEVI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+47.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $18.04 - $21.46
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.9% below Wall St target ($27.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.04 - $21.46
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.72
Resistance Level $19.11
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.07
Wall Street Target $27.00 (+47.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.4%
Profit Margin 9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 13.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.15 (-6%)
2-Year Target $16.10 (-12%)
3-Year Target $15.12 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→13) $18.29 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.1%) $52.07 (+185%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 12.1%) $25.75 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.1%) $21.88 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case $25.78 (+38%)
Analyst growth 30.7%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case $23.43 (+26%)
Market implied 30.7%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case $12.19 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 13.4
Stabilization Target: $22.09 (+21.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.0%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason Gowans SELL 40000 shares 2026-02-12
David Jedrzejek SELL 2248 shares 2026-02-03
David Jedrzejek SELL 7093 shares 2026-01-27

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