LHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$342.85
-13.17 (-3.70%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: LHX trades at premium valuation expecting 4.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$499.59
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$310.21
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LHX is currently trading at $342.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $304.30 to $352.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.7) compared to its historical average (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LHX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $339.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $304.30 - $352.10
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($364.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $304.30 - $352.10
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $339.26
Resistance Level $369.59
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.72
Wall Street Target $364.00 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.1%
Profit Margin 8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.8% premium
PE vs Historical 28.7 vs 24.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $373.11 (+5%)
2-Year Target $391.02 (+10%)
3-Year Target $409.79 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’25) PE COMPRESSION $355.23 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: 16.4%) $561.38 (+58%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.4%) $435.83 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.4%) $370.46 (+4%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.30
Bull Case $528.21 (+54%)
Analyst growth 33.3%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case $480.19 (+40%)
Market implied 33.3%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case $245.00 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23
Richard McCormick SELL 2025-09-18
Christopher E Kubasik SELL 83000 shares 2025-09-12

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Advanced LHX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LHX price and gamma walls.

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