LIEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LIEN - Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. Common Stock
$10.49
-0.06 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
-1.96%
30d:
-0.1%
90d:
+3.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LIEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LIEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.50
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LIEN is currently trading at $10.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.39 to $10.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LIEN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.58, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: LIEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LIEN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.58, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: LIEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.39 -
$10.68
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.39 -
$10.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.58
Resistance Level
$10.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.04
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
374.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.8%
Profit Margin
62.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$10.33
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$10.42
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.8%)
$36.05
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 2.8%)
$11.38
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 2.8%)
$9.67
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$9.97
(-5%)
Analyst growth -15.3%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$9.07
(-14%)
Market implied -15.3%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$7.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.58
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LIEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter Sack
BUY
450 shares
2025-09-19
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