LILA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LILA - Liberty Latin America Ltd. Class A Common Stock
$8.33
0.01 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
+6.66%
30d:
+7.35%
90d:
+9.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LILA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LILA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.79
34.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LILA is currently trading at $8.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.67 to $8.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LILA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LILA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.90 (+42.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LILA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LILA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.90 (+42.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$7.67 -
$8.18
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($11.90)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.67 -
$8.18
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.90
(10.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.57
Resistance Level
$8.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.69
Wall Street Target
$11.90
(+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
-13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.70
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.11
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$6.57
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$8.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 95.5%)
$65.02
(+681%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 95.5%)
$28.11
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 95.5%)
$23.90
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.58
(+27.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LILA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian D Zook
SELL
94494 shares
2026-02-20
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