LMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LMT - Lockheed Martin Corp.
$603.18
-12.67 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
-8.34%
90d:
+24.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
LMT is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $600 2026-06-18 with 1,031 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
Get Alerted When LMT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$780.17
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$484.43
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LMT is currently trading at $603.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $626.93 to $664.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $605.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $605.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$626.93 -
$664.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($664.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$626.93 -
$664.96
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$605.00
Resistance Level
$645.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.31
Wall Street Target
$664.26
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.0%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$620.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$625.73
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$630.74
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$617.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$866.52
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 6.6%)
$747.01
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$634.96
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.52
Bull Case
$1022.73
(+66%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$929.76
(+51%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$426.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie C Hill
SELL
10 shares
2026-02-24
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-12-19
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-11-18
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$272 | 54 HOLD |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$388 | 61 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$280 | 54 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1594 | 54 HOLD |
|
RTX
Raytheon Technologies Co… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$217 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced LMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LMT price and gamma walls.
