LOAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAR - Loar Holdings Inc.
$57.29
2.03 (3.67%)
▲
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
-20.76%
90d:
-16.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
LOAR is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 48 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.22
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAR is currently trading at $57.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.25 to $70.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.7) compared to its historical average (65.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 219.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $54.59, while resistance sits at $68.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LOAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.60 (+59.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $54.59, while resistance sits at $68.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LOAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.60 (+59.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$60.25 -
$70.97
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($91.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.25 -
$70.97
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.59
Resistance Level
$68.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.74
Wall Street Target
$91.60
(+59.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.4%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.7 vs 65.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$50.30
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$47.13
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 54→65)
$57.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 53.7, Growth: 34.3%)
$138.74
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.3%)
$57.70
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 34.3%)
$49.04
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (79x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (54x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 78.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$92.60
(+57%)
Analyst growth 42.1%, PE expands to 86.9
Base Case
$84.19
(+43%)
Market implied 42.1%, PE stable at 79.0
Bear Case
$40.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 67.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.7 to 65.3
Stabilization Target:
$69.61
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul S Levy
BUY
75000 shares
2026-03-13
Anthony Carpenito
BUY
50 shares
2026-03-13
Anthony Carpenito
BUY
4750 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced LOAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOAR price and gamma walls.
