LOAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAR - Loar Holdings Inc.
$68.58
-1.01 (-1.45%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.21
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.62
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAR is currently trading at $68.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.12 to $73.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 66.4) is in line with its historical norms (67.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 222.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.13 (+38.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.13 (+38.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$69.12 -
$73.04
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($95.13)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.12 -
$73.04
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.85
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.69
Resistance Level
$75.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.36
Wall Street Target
$95.13
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
222.2%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
66.4 vs 67.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.10
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$67.62
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$67.15
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→68)
$68.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$82.46
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$27.71
(-60%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$23.56
(-66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (67x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (66x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 67.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.02
Bull Case
$82.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 70.5
Base Case
$68.58
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 67.1
Bear Case
$52.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 60.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 66.4 to 67.8
Stabilization Target:
$70.07
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LOAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOAR price and gamma walls.
