LSPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
$10.80
-0.27 (-2.44%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.10
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $10.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.33 to $12.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSPD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.36 (+29.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSPD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.36 (+29.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.33 -
$12.23
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LSPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($14.36)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.1%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.33 -
$12.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.70
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.81
Resistance Level
$11.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.88
Wall Street Target
$14.36
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
-59.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.41
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.78
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.19
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$11.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 44.1%)
$46.50
(+320%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 44.1%)
$33.10
(+199%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 44.1%)
$28.14
(+154%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.32
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LSPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LSPD price and gamma walls.
