MANH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc
$133.12
2.66 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
-4.89%
90d:
-24.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MANH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MANH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.67
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.40
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $133.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.69 to $145.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $126.00, while resistance sits at $142.00.
Market Sentiment: MANH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.55 (+56.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $126.00, while resistance sits at $142.00.
Market Sentiment: MANH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.55 (+56.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$132.69 -
$145.31
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($208.55)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$132.69 -
$145.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.95
(6.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.00
Resistance Level
$142.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.63
Wall Street Target
$208.55
(+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 28.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.93
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$115.38
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$107.42
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→28)
$132.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$191.00
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$188.65
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$160.35
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.60
Bull Case
$246.83
(+77%)
Analyst growth 63.4%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case
$224.39
(+61%)
Market implied 63.4%, PE stable at 38.1
Bear Case
$93.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$164.72
(+23.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MANH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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