MANH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc
$151.01
-4.76 (-3.06%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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1 traders called MANH this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MANH is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MANH is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.24
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.13
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $151.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.20 to $176.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.5) compared to its historical average (32.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.64 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.64 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$168.20 -
$176.42
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MANH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($218.64)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$168.20 -
$176.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.38
Resistance Level
$179.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.47
Wall Street Target
$218.64
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 32.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.96
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$136.76
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$128.15
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→32)
$155.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 12.7%)
$222.79
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$187.69
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$159.54
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.60
Bull Case
$305.30
(+96%)
Analyst growth 63.5%, PE expands to 51.9
Base Case
$277.55
(+78%)
Market implied 63.5%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case
$115.42
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 32.2
Stabilization Target:
$189.48
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MANH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MANH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MANH price and gamma walls.
