MAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$333.46
6.39 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
-0.73%
90d:
+6.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MAR is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $340 2026-04-17 with 1,085 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$477.49
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$296.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $333.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $319.79 to $338.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $333.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $333.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$319.79 -
$338.28
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($356.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$319.79 -
$338.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$316.54
Resistance Level
$333.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.73
Wall Street Target
$356.12
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
37.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$329.13
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$324.85
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$320.62
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$334.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$471.62
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.2%)
$409.74
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.2%)
$348.28
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$479.92
(+47%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$436.29
(+34%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$217.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$347.39
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajeev Menon
SELL
3492 shares
2026-02-19
Benjamin T Breland
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-18
Rajeev Menon
SELL
6333 shares
2026-02-18
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Advanced MAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAR price and gamma walls.
