MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$182.25
0.53 (0.29%)
▲
5d:
+1.17%
30d:
+6.89%
90d:
+15.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.81
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $182.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.12 to $180.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.57, while resistance sits at $189.99.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.00 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.57, while resistance sits at $189.99.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.00 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$170.12 -
$180.28
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($224.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.12 -
$180.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.57
Resistance Level
$189.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.03
Wall Street Target
$224.00
(+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$184.81
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$186.10
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$182.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$424.62
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$231.77
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$197.00
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.68
Bull Case
$221.37
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$201.25
(+10%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$123.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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