MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$203.53
-0.39 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
+3.65%
30d:
+8.8%
90d:
+23.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.50
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $203.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.32 to $198.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$186.32 -
$198.59
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($231.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.32 -
$198.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.21
Resistance Level
$197.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.29
Wall Street Target
$231.00
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.86
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$218.45
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$226.31
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$202.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$394.54
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$240.71
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$204.60
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.48
Bull Case
$254.88
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$231.70
(+14%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$138.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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