MBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBC - MasterBrand, Inc.
$8.31
0.10 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
-1.54%
30d:
-16.9%
90d:
-25.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.34
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBC is currently trading at $8.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.91 to $10.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.38, while resistance sits at $8.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+68.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.38, while resistance sits at $8.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+68.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$7.91 -
$10.10
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.5% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -3.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.91 -
$10.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.38
Resistance Level
$8.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.84
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+68.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.4%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$8.73
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$8.95
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 40.0%)
$34.34
(+313%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$22.80
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 40.0%)
$19.38
(+133%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$16.92
(+106%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.3
Base Case
$15.38
(+87%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.6
Bear Case
$5.23
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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