MBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBC - MasterBrand, Inc.
$12.12
0.11 (0.92%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.55
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.17
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBC is currently trading at $12.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.22 to $12.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.73, while resistance sits at $13.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.73, while resistance sits at $13.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$11.22 -
$12.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -2.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.22 -
$12.60
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.74
Resistance Level
$13.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.4%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.32
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$12.48
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -3.8%)
$20.05
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -3.8%)
$10.69
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: -3.8%)
$9.09
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$21.20
(+77%)
Analyst growth 60.3%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$19.27
(+61%)
Market implied 60.3%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$8.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBC price and gamma walls.
