MCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share
$87.13
-1.33 (-1.50%)
▼
5d:
-3.76%
30d:
-0.41%
90d:
-6.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.26
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCB is currently trading at $87.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.32 to $90.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 101.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.67 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.67 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$87.32 -
$90.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($104.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.32 -
$90.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.01
Resistance Level
$92.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.36
Wall Street Target
$104.67
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.4%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$84.71
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$83.52
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$87.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$385.56
(+343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$128.58
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 13.8%)
$109.29
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.09
Bull Case
$139.03
(+60%)
Analyst growth 46.3%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$126.39
(+45%)
Market implied 46.3%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$58.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$91.16
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert C Patent
SELL
4445 shares
2026-01-23
Robert C Patent
SELL
10000 shares
2026-01-22
Nick Rosenberg
SELL
1250 shares
2026-01-21
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