MCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCO - Moody's Corporation
$515.56
0.11 (0.02%)
ā²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
Get Alerted When MCO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called MCO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: MCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: MCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$604.93
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$375.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCO is currently trading at $515.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $513.48 to $533.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.2) is in line with its historical norms (31.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $509.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $575.53 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $509.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $575.53 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$513.48 -
$533.37
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($575.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$513.48 -
$533.37
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$18.37
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$509.56
Resistance Level
$541.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.25
Wall Street Target
$575.53
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 31.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$515.97
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$516.48
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$517.00
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31ā31)
PE COMPRESSION
$514.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$723.47
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.0%)
$516.33
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$438.88
(-15%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.45
Bull Case
$752.99
(+46%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 45.7
Base Case
$684.53
(+33%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$351.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
š„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Fauber
SELL
415 shares
2025-10-15
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Featured in Portfolios
MCO is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Financial Data & Stock Exchanges Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Financial Data & Stock Exchanges by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SPGI
S&P Global Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$619 | 61 BUY |
|
COIN
Coinbase Global Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$345 | 50 HOLD |
|
ICE
Intercontinental Exchangā¦ |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$192 | 63 BUY |
|
MSCI
MSCI Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$660 | 69 BUY |
|
NDAQ
Nasdaq Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$107 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced MCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCO price and gamma walls.
