MCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCS - The Marcus Corporation
$15.09
0.02 (0.13%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.02
5.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCS is currently trading at $15.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.13 to $15.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MCS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+52.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MCS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+52.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.13 -
$15.68
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.6% below Wall St target ($23.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -10.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.13 -
$15.68
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.68
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.80
Resistance Level
$16.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.43
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+52.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.5%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.99
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.47
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 71.0%)
$50.86
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 71.0%)
$39.89
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 71.0%)
$33.91
(+125%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.38 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.59
Bull Case
$18.22
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$15.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$11.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MCS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCS price and gamma walls.
