MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$60.97
-0.55 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
+7.76%
90d:
-1.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.34
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $60.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.23 to $61.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.20 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.20 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$57.23 -
$61.18
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.23 -
$61.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.26
Resistance Level
$62.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.99
Wall Street Target
$67.20
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.46
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$61.95
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$62.45
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$101.94
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$83.20
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$70.72
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$113.55
(+86%)
Analyst growth 67.8%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$103.23
(+69%)
Market implied 67.8%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$41.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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