MDXG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDXG - MiMedx Group, Inc

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$5.11
-0.03 (-0.58%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDXG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDXG is currently trading at $5.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.45 to $6.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.8) compared to its historical average (28.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDXG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.40 (+102.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $5.45 - $6.75
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 102.3% below Wall St target ($10.40)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.4% growth expectation is conservative given 114% recent growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.45 - $6.75
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.05
Resistance Level $5.72
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 42.83
Wall Street Target $10.40 (+102.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 113.8%
Profit Margin 10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.4% premium
PE vs Historical 42.8 vs 28.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.88 (+14%)
2-Year Target $6.73 (+31%)
3-Year Target $7.70 (+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→29) PE COMPRESSION $5.14 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 42.8, Growth: -71.4%) $3.75 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -71.4%) $1.95 (-62%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -71.4%) $1.66 (-68%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case $2.83 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case $2.58 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case $3.50 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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