MEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEG - Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.
$20.89
-0.23 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
-7.48%
30d:
-28.51%
90d:
-19.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MEG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MEG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.66
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.63
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEG is currently trading at $20.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.95 to $27.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.67 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.67 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$21.95 -
$27.10
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($35.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.95 -
$27.10
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.26
(10.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.87
Resistance Level
$23.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.77
Wall Street Target
$35.67
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.28
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$17.60
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$16.07
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$21.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$50.39
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$28.72
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.8%)
$24.41
(+16%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$27.79
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vijay Manthripragada
SELL
46121 shares
2026-03-13
Jose Revuelta
SELL
7858 shares
2026-03-09
Nasym Afsari
SELL
43348 shares
2026-03-03
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