MEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEG - Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.
$23.01
0.73 (3.28%)
▲
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
-7.33%
90d:
-11.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MEG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MEG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.00
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEG is currently trading at $23.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.50 to $25.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.33 (+49.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.33 (+49.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$22.50 -
$25.75
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.6% below Wall St target ($33.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.50 -
$25.75
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.26
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.95
Resistance Level
$23.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.93
Wall Street Target
$33.33
(+49.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.50
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$20.75
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$20.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$22.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$41.98
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$30.00
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 10.4%)
$25.50
(+15%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$24.75
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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