WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$168.82
4.11 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
+13.23%
90d:
+3.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WCN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WCN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$228.94
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $168.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.12 to $160.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+20.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+20.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$151.12 -
$160.72
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($203.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.12 -
$160.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.89
Resistance Level
$158.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.29
Wall Street Target
$203.92
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.48
(0%)
2-Year Target
$168.15
(0%)
3-Year Target
$167.81
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
$168.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 12.4%)
$239.74
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$191.36
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$162.65
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$273.40
(+62%)
Analyst growth 50.9%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$248.55
(+47%)
Market implied 50.9%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$112.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 27.4
Stabilization Target:
$169.52
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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