MFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFG - Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one-fifth of an Ordinary Share)
$8.69
-0.17 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
+0.7%
90d:
-12.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When MFG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MFG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MFG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.22
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFG is currently trading at $8.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.33 to $8.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.39, while resistance sits at $8.98.
Market Sentiment: MFG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.39, while resistance sits at $8.98.
Market Sentiment: MFG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.33 -
$8.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.33 -
$8.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.39
Resistance Level
$8.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.81
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.76
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$8.83
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$8.90
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$22.59
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$13.11
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$11.14
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case
$12.02
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.7%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$10.93
(+26%)
Market implied 25.7%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$5.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 55 HOLD |
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$57 | 51 HOLD |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$234 | 60 BUY |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$56 | 60 HOLD |
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$73 | 46 HOLD |
