MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
$41.73
0.04 (0.10%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.49
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.58
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $41.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.85 to $45.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.0) is in line with its historical norms (33.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MIAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.75 (+16.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $41.85 - $45.13
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.75)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $41.85 - $45.13
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.84 (6.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.83
Resistance Level $44.92
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.96
Wall Street Target $48.75 (+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.8%
Profit Margin -7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.0 vs 33.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.10 (-2%)
2-Year Target $40.49 (-3%)
3-Year Target $39.88 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32β†’33) $41.68 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.0, Growth: -16.2%) $30.42 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -16.2%) $21.23 (-49%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -16.2%) $18.04 (-57%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.0 to 33.4
Stabilization Target: $43.61 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Murray Stahl BUY 2 shares 2025-10-03
Murray Stahl BUY 4 shares 2025-09-26
Murray Stahl BUY 34470 shares 2025-08-28

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Advanced MIAX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MIAX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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