MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$40.17
0.80 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
+4.86%
30d:
-6.19%
90d:
-9.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.0% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.0% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.86
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.86
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $40.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.38 to $41.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (29.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$38.38 -
$41.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($50.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.38 -
$41.50
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.10
Resistance Level
$40.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.18
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
-5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 29.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.22
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$33.32
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$30.66
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→30)
$39.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$67.54
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.7%)
$65.11
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 19.7%)
$55.34
(+41%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 29.8
Stabilization Target:
$50.61
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas M Schafer Jr
SELL
48000 shares
2026-03-17
Murray Stahl
BUY
7200 shares
2026-03-04
Murray Stahl
SELL
121054 shares
2026-03-02
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