MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$37.50
0.19 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
-11.97%
90d:
-19.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.86
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.86
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $37.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.86 to $41.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+34.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+34.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$38.86 -
$41.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($50.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.86 -
$41.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.10
Resistance Level
$40.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.97
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
-5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 30.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$30.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$27.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→30)
$37.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.7%)
$65.26
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.7%)
$64.00
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 19.7%)
$54.40
(+46%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$51.12
(+37.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas M Schafer Jr
SELL
48000 shares
2026-03-17
Murray Stahl
BUY
7200 shares
2026-03-04
Murray Stahl
SELL
121054 shares
2026-03-02
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