MMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMC - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
$182.70
-2.93 (-1.58%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 13, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.88
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMC is currently trading at $182.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.01 to $187.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.71 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.71 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$184.01 -
$187.39
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
57th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 57th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($210.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$184.01 -
$187.39
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.61
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.61
Resistance Level
$187.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.71
Wall Street Target
$210.71
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.58
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$180.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$179.40
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$182.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$226.16
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$285.28
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$229.86
(+26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$185.66
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-16
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Advanced MMC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MMC price and gamma walls.
