MNTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MNTN - MNTN, Inc.

SERVICES-ADVERTISING
$8.58
0.09 (1.06%) ▲
5d: -5.71%
30d: -12.09%
90d: -27.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

MNTN is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 507 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.06
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.70
37.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNTN is currently trading at $8.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.96 to $10.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.25, while resistance sits at $10.25.

Market Sentiment: MNTN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.05 (+145.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $8.96 - $10.19
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 52th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 52th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 145.3% below Wall St target ($21.05)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.96 - $10.19
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.35 (15.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.25
Resistance Level $10.25
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.38
Wall Street Target $21.05 (+145.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.8%
Profit Margin -2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 11.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.72 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.95 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.25 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→12) $10.09 (+18%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.7%) $40.27 (+369%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 15.7%) $13.29 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 6.3, Growth: 15.7%) $11.30 (+32%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 11.9
Stabilization Target: $13.84 (+61.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +61.3%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Hadi Partovi SELL 86665 shares 2025-12-03
Hadi Partovi SELL 168257 shares 2025-12-02
Hadi Partovi SELL 192598 shares 2025-12-01

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