MNTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MNTN - MNTN, Inc.

SERVICES-ADVERTISING
$9.20
-0.35 (-3.66%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.86
38.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNTN is currently trading at $9.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.21 to $12.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.38 (+176.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $10.21 - $12.23
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 40th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 176.2% below Wall St target ($26.38)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.21 - $12.23
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.49 (16.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.44
Resistance Level $11.35
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.11
Wall Street Target $26.38 (+176.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.3%
Profit Margin -15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 14.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.78 (-8%)
2-Year Target $8.07 (-16%)
3-Year Target $7.41 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→14) $9.54 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 151.3%) $64.67 (+577%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 151.3%) $32.23 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 151.3%) $27.40 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $12.29 (+28.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MNTN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNTN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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