MRVL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRVL - Marvell Technology, Inc. Common Stock
$78.92
-2.42 (-2.98%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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10 traders called MRVL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MRVL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MRVL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$174.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.23
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRVL is currently trading at $78.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.92 to $86.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRVL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.91 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRVL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.91 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$80.92 -
$86.76
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($116.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$80.92 -
$86.76
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.30
Resistance Level
$85.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.72
Wall Street Target
$116.91
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.2%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.95
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$72.79
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$68.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$81.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 26.5%)
$164.62
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.5%)
$161.58
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.5%)
$137.34
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$115.00
(+41%)
Analyst growth 26.1%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$104.55
(+29%)
Market implied 26.1%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$56.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$95.95
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRVL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Matthew J Murphy
BUY
13600 shares
2025-09-25
Chris Koopmans
BUY
6800 shares
2025-09-25
Willem A Meintjes
BUY
3400 shares
2025-09-25
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