MSCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSCI - MSCI, Inc.
$609.22
0.98 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When MSCI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MSCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MSCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$812.28
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$504.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSCI is currently trading at $609.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $576.72 to $598.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.8) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $621.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MSCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $621.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MSCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$576.72 -
$598.81
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($660.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$576.72 -
$598.81
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.59
(2.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$575.79
Resistance Level
$621.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.77
Wall Street Target
$660.40
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Profit Margin
40.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.8 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$594.86
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$581.77
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$568.97
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→30)
$608.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$865.77
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$695.18
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$590.90
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.77
Bull Case
$939.31
(+54%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$853.92
(+40%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$418.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.8 to 29.7
Stabilization Target:
$650.46
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MSCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
Top Rated Financial Data & Stock Exchanges Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Financial Data & Stock Exchanges by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SPGI
S&P Global Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$619 | 61 BUY |
|
COIN
Coinbase Global Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$345 | 50 HOLD |
|
MCO
Moodys Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$576 | 62 BUY |
|
ICE
Intercontinental Exchang… |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$192 | 63 BUY |
|
NDAQ
Nasdaq Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$107 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced MSCI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSCI price and gamma walls.
