MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$177.28
-4.27 (-2.35%)
▼
5d:
-0.61%
30d:
+25.38%
90d:
+31.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.26
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $177.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.08 to $177.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $160.62, while resistance sits at $187.49.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $160.62, while resistance sits at $187.49.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$145.08 -
$177.04
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($178.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.08 -
$177.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$160.63
Resistance Level
$187.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.11
Wall Street Target
$178.33
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.90
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$192.85
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$201.15
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$176.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$278.25
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 16.2%)
$237.89
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$202.21
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.20
Bull Case
$214.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$177.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case
$135.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 6:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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