MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$11.75
-0.30 (-2.49%)
▼
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
-19.02%
90d:
-2.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.55
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $11.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.66 to $14.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.06, while resistance sits at $12.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.06, while resistance sits at $12.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$11.66 -
$14.14
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.6% above Wall St target ($10.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.66 -
$14.14
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.84
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.06
Resistance Level
$12.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 15.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.95
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.21
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.51
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$11.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 34.5%)
$47.12
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 34.5%)
$28.56
(+143%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 34.5%)
$24.27
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$14.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$11.76
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$9.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.51
(+23.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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