MU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MU - Micron Technology, Inc.
$428.32
-7.47 (-1.71%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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76 traders called MU this week
95% bullish • 7 bearish
95% bullish • 7 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MU is 8.4% above fair value ($395.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MU is 8.4% above fair value ($395.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1149.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$714.02
40.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MU is currently trading at $428.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $296.78 to $395.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 175.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $352.04, while resistance sits at $446.46.
Market Sentiment: MU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $358.85. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $352.04, while resistance sits at $446.46.
Market Sentiment: MU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $358.85. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$296.78 -
$395.28
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
MU is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.7% above Wall St target ($358.85)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$296.78 -
$395.28
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$352.04
Resistance Level
$446.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.18
Wall Street Target
$358.85
(-17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.4%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$393.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$355.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$320.88
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$434.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 28.5%)
$2023.61
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 28.5%)
$924.17
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$785.55
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.50
Bull Case
$902.53
(+107%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$820.48
(+88%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$278.96
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$590.51
(+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 2:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sanjay Mehrotra
SELL
19761 shares
2025-10-21
Scott R Allen
SELL
8800 shares
2025-10-20
Sanjay Mehrotra
SELL
2739 shares
2025-10-20
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