NCNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCNO - nCino, Inc. Common Stock
$17.10
0.53 (3.20%)
▲
5d:
+14.0%
30d:
+4.52%
90d:
-33.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.70
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.30
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCNO is currently trading at $17.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.78 to $16.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $18.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.07 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $18.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.07 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$14.78 -
$16.43
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($26.07)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.78 -
$16.43
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.80
Resistance Level
$18.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.67
Wall Street Target
$26.07
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
-3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.83
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$14.66
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$13.58
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$17.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.5%)
$30.83
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 13.5%)
$24.97
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 13.5%)
$21.23
(+24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$21.55
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeanette Sellers
SELL
2182 shares
2026-02-04
April Rieger
SELL
8078 shares
2026-02-03
Gregory Orenstein
SELL
10562 shares
2026-02-03
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Advanced NCNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NCNO price and gamma walls.
