NCNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCNO - nCino, Inc. Common Stock
$14.36
0.35 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
-7.47%
30d:
-11.03%
90d:
-45.38%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NCNO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NCNO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.07
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.53
30.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCNO is currently trading at $14.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.79 to $16.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $15.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.64 (+125.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $15.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.64 (+125.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.79 -
$16.32
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 125.9% below Wall St target ($31.64)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.79 -
$16.32
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.80
Resistance Level
$15.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.66
Wall Street Target
$31.64
(+125.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
-3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 21.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→21)
$15.92
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$33.49
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$20.43
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 13.4%)
$17.36
(+24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$21.84
(+55.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeanette Sellers
SELL
2182 shares
2026-02-04
April Rieger
SELL
8078 shares
2026-02-03
Gregory Orenstein
SELL
10562 shares
2026-02-03
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