NCNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCNO - nCino, Inc. Common Stock
$21.35
-0.04 (-0.19%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
Get Alerted When NCNO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NCNO is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NCNO is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.82
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.10
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCNO is currently trading at $21.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.28 to $25.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.14 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.14 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$23.28 -
$25.88
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NCNO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($34.14)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.28 -
$25.88
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.29
Resistance Level
$24.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.86
Wall Street Target
$34.14
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
-3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.76
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$18.26
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$16.87
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$21.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.4%)
$33.34
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$31.18
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$26.51
(+24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$27.07
(+26.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NCNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeff Horing
SELL
3889254 shares
2025-09-08
Jeanette Sellers
SELL
529 shares
2025-09-05
Jeff Horing
SELL
26168 shares
2025-09-05
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$208 | 56 HOLD |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$235 | 57 HOLD |
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$563 | 49 HOLD |
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$198 | 55 HOLD |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$788 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced NCNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NCNO price and gamma walls.
