NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$44.59
1.49 (3.46%)
▲
5d:
-1.94%
30d:
-19.8%
90d:
-25.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.88
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $44.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.54 to $53.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $57.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $57.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.54 -
$53.98
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.54 -
$53.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.22
Resistance Level
$57.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.81
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$45.04
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$45.26
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 55.7%)
$289.62
(+550%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 55.7%)
$150.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 55.7%)
$127.92
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.00
Bull Case
$27.49
(-38%)
Analyst growth -43.7%, PE expands to 7.0
Base Case
$24.99
(-44%)
Market implied -43.7%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$30.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 6:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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