NECB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NECB - Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.
$25.98
0.34 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
+9.99%
90d:
+12.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NECB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NECB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.57
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NECB is currently trading at $25.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.67 to $25.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NECB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NECB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NECB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.67 -
$25.05
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -1.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.67 -
$25.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.89
Resistance Level
$25.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.18
Wall Street Target
$28.25
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Profit Margin
41.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.68
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$27.40
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$28.14
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$109.65
(+322%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$35.90
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$30.52
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$31.81
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$28.91
(+11%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$17.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NECB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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