NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$103.12
1.02 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.07%
30d:
-20.68%
90d:
-2.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$226.60
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.70
26.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $103.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.09 to $123.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.34, while resistance sits at $112.57.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.37 (+37.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.34, while resistance sits at $112.57.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.37 (+37.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$103.09 -
$123.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.5% below Wall St target ($140.37)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$103.09 -
$123.94
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.34
Resistance Level
$112.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.18
Wall Street Target
$140.37
(+37.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Profit Margin
31.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$83.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$75.18
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$102.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.7%)
$395.94
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 16.7%)
$162.23
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 16.7%)
$137.89
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.39
Bull Case
$178.91
(+82%)
Analyst growth 69.8%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$162.64
(+66%)
Market implied 69.8%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$65.14
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$139.06
(+36.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David James Fry
SELL
18394 shares
2026-03-16
Bruce R Brook
SELL
2080 shares
2025-12-01
Bruce R Brook
SELL
2080 shares
2025-11-03
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEM price and gamma walls.
