NGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGS - Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
$43.73
1.33 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
+8.94%
30d:
+14.78%
90d:
+17.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.48
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGS is currently trading at $43.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.14 to $41.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NGS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.25 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: NGS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.25 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.14 -
$41.53
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.14 -
$41.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.51
Resistance Level
$44.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.80
Wall Street Target
$47.25
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.12
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$43.85
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$44.60
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.1%)
$75.79
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 15.1%)
$64.57
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$54.89
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$60.70
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$55.18
(+30%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$28.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-06
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
70000 shares
2026-03-05
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-10
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