NGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGS - Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
$39.46
-1.47 (-3.59%)
▼
5d:
-9.02%
30d:
-3.54%
90d:
+5.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.86
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGS is currently trading at $39.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.34 to $43.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+43.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+43.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.34 -
$43.02
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NGS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.2% below Wall St target ($56.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.34 -
$43.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.64
Resistance Level
$42.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.79
Wall Street Target
$56.50
(+43.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.59
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$37.74
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$36.91
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$39.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.6%)
$113.90
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 30.6%)
$87.81
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 30.6%)
$74.64
(+89%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$61.51
(+56%)
Analyst growth 36.6%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$55.92
(+42%)
Market implied 36.6%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$27.83
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$42.06
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-06
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
70000 shares
2026-03-05
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