NOVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOVT - Novanta Inc. Common Stock
$134.54
-5.88 (-4.19%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOVT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOVT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.81
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOVT is currently trading at $134.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.89 to $137.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.9) compared to its historical average (33.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.00, while resistance sits at $143.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.00, while resistance sits at $143.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$120.89 -
$137.52
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
14th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($154.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$120.89 -
$137.52
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.27
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.00
Resistance Level
$143.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.86
Wall Street Target
$154.00
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
38.9 vs 33.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$147.30
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$154.52
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$162.09
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$140.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$192.38
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$110.39
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$93.84
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (95x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 95.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case
$305.78
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 104.7
Base Case
$277.98
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 95.2
Bear Case
$94.51
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 80.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NOVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOVT price and gamma walls.
