NWBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$13.40
-0.18 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-3.53%
30d:
+1.13%
90d:
+3.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.42
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $13.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.31 to $13.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.31 -
$13.86
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.31 -
$13.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.32
Resistance Level
$14.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.29
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.43
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$13.45
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$13.48
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.7%)
$36.56
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 4.7%)
$15.39
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 4.7%)
$13.08
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$23.42
(+75%)
Analyst growth 56.8%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$21.29
(+59%)
Market implied 56.8%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$9.23
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis J Torchio
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-06
Timothy M Hunter
BUY
4000 shares
2025-12-05
John P Meegan
BUY
1500 shares
2025-12-01
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