NWE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$71.32
-0.13 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-0.17%
30d:
+2.18%
90d:
+7.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.49
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $71.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.01 to $72.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$69.01 -
$72.04
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 6.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.01 -
$72.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.49
Resistance Level
$72.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.97
Wall Street Target
$71.42
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$72.75
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$73.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$104.01
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 6.4%)
$85.80
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$72.93
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$114.70
(+61%)
Analyst growth 45.9%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$104.27
(+46%)
Market implied 45.9%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$48.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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