NWE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$69.60
-2.08 (-2.90%)
▼
5d:
-3.85%
30d:
-5.05%
90d:
-0.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NWE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.64
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $69.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.07 to $72.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.07 -
$72.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 6.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.07 -
$72.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.95
Resistance Level
$73.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.00
Wall Street Target
$69.30
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$73.41
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$74.29
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.1%)
$104.98
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 6.1%)
$85.73
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.1%)
$72.87
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$114.64
(+60%)
Analyst growth 46.4%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$104.22
(+45%)
Market implied 46.4%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$48.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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