NWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWS - News Corporation Class B Common Stock
$31.10
0.49 (1.60%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.99
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWS is currently trading at $31.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.91 to $30.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$29.91 -
$30.78
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
58th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NWS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 58th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($29.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.91 -
$30.78
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.01
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.98
Resistance Level
$31.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.18
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(-6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.38
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.69
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$29.00
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$31.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$46.58
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$39.68
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$33.73
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$48.19
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$43.81
(+41%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$20.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 28.1
Stabilization Target:
$33.38
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NWS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NWS price and gamma walls.
