OI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OI - O-I Glass, Inc.
$10.51
0.32 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
-0.94%
30d:
-21.74%
90d:
-29.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.44
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.66
40.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OI is currently trading at $10.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.16 to $13.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.9) compared to its historical average (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.84, while resistance sits at $10.90. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.89 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.84, while resistance sits at $10.90. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.89 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.16 -
$13.22
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($17.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.16 -
$13.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.84
Resistance Level
$10.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.91
Wall Street Target
$17.89
(+70.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.8%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 6.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$10.76
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.5%)
$92.14
(+777%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$20.26
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.2, Growth: 24.5%)
$17.22
(+64%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.9 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.76
(+40.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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