OLPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLPX - Olaplex Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$2.03
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+56.15%
30d:
+33.55%
90d:
+45.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
OLPX is down 7.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1.5 2026-04-17 with 7,577 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: OLPX is 14.7% above fair value ($1.77). Market expects 10.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: OLPX is 14.7% above fair value ($1.77). Market expects 10.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLPX is currently trading at $2.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.24 to $1.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLPX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.79. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLPX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1.79. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$1.24 -
$1.77
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
35.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.7% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.8% above Wall St target ($1.79)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.3% growth with 4.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.24 -
$1.77
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.18
Resistance Level
$2.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.24
Wall Street Target
$1.79
(-11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 15.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.24
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$2.47
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$2.72
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$2.87
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$2.60
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$1.94
(-5%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Dunleavy
SELL
93809 shares
2026-03-12
John C Duffy
SELL
34962 shares
2026-03-12
Trisha L Fox
SELL
25421 shares
2026-03-12
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