OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$114.96
0.23 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-1.58%
30d:
+1.87%
90d:
+5.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OMAB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OMAB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.36
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.30
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $114.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.95 to $120.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $106.84, while resistance sits at $122.50.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $106.84, while resistance sits at $122.50.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$107.95 -
$120.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($124.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$107.95 -
$120.90
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.84
Resistance Level
$122.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.09
Wall Street Target
$124.33
(+8.1%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Profit Margin
33.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$106.61
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$102.67
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$115.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$309.37
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 13.3%)
$167.35
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$142.25
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.19
Bull Case
$186.88
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$169.89
(+56%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$73.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$129.32
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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