ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$310.81
1.81 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
+2.57%
90d:
-9.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$545.51
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$338.72
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $310.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $288.17 to $308.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $362.53 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $362.53 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$288.17 -
$308.75
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($362.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$288.17 -
$308.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$291.64
Resistance Level
$316.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.24
Wall Street Target
$362.53
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
26.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$302.11
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$293.65
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$285.43
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$310.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$869.16
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 16.3%)
$488.45
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 16.3%)
$415.18
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.63
Bull Case
$463.30
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.3%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$421.18
(+36%)
Market implied 36.3%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$210.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$337.73
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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