Is ONEW stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ONEW is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ONEW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ONEW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ONEW to be between $11.20 and $13.92. The current price is $13.28.

What is the analyst price target for ONEW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ONEW is $15.75. This implies a potential upside of 22.2% from current levels.

ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock

RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES

$13.28

0.39 (3.03%) ▲

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Apr 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ONEW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$22.62

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$14.04

5.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $13.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.20 to $13.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $15.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+22.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Fair Price Range $11.20 - $13.92

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 52th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.7%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 52th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($15.75)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 21.8% revenue growth
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.20 - $13.92

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.72 (13.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.68

Resistance Level $15.25

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.54

Wall Street Target $15.75 (+22.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -34.3%

Profit Margin -6.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium

PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 10.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.35 (+4%)

2-Year Target $13.83 (+7%)

3-Year Target $14.33 (+11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→10) PE COMPRESSION $12.91 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 90.9%) $84.05 (+552%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 90.9%) $43.50 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: 90.9%) $36.98 (+187%)

Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Philip Austin Jr. Single… BUY 3654 shares 2025-09-19

John Troiano SELL 15041 shares 2025-08-27

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Advanced ONEW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONEW price and gamma walls.

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