ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.13
0.30 (3.40%)
▲
5d:
+0.77%
30d:
-19.81%
90d:
-13.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.60
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $9.13, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.77 to $11.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.12, while resistance sits at $9.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+84.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.12, while resistance sits at $9.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+84.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$8.77 -
$11.37
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
70th percentile
(ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 70th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 84.0% below Wall St target ($16.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.77 -
$11.37
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.32
(14.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.12
Resistance Level
$9.83
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.90
Wall Street Target
$16.25
(+84.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.3%
Profit Margin
-5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.36
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$7.92
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$7.50
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$8.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 93.4%)
$75.03
(+750%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 93.4%)
$29.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 93.4%)
$25.33
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.42
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Troiano
SELL
1662 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
18008 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
6345 shares
2026-02-11
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