ONTF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONTF - ON24, Inc.
$7.97
-0.01 (-0.13%)
âŧ
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When ONTF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ONTF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ONTF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONTF is currently trading at $7.97, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.86 to $8.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 60.2) is in line with its historical norms (58.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONTF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ONTF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (81th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONTF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ONTF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (81th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.86 -
$8.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
81th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.3%
Protect Your Profits
ONTF is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 81th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.86 -
$8.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.41
(17.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.96
Resistance Level
$8.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.23
Wall Street Target
$8.10
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Profit Margin
-22.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
60.2 vs 58.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$8.12
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$8.20
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60â59)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.2, Growth: 120.8%)
$26.93
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 120.8%)
$9.97
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 120.8%)
$8.48
(+6%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ONTF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sharat Sharan
SELL
32093 shares
2025-10-16
Sharat Sharan
SELL
32159 shares
2025-09-16
Steven Vattuone
SELL
20116 shares
2025-09-09
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$208 | 56 HOLD |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$235 | 57 HOLD |
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$563 | 49 HOLD |
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$198 | 55 HOLD |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$788 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced ONTF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONTF price and gamma walls.
