OOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OOMA - Ooma, Inc. Common Stock
$14.29
0.29 (2.07%)
▲
5d:
+1.78%
30d:
+15.61%
90d:
+23.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OOMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OOMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.67
19.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OOMA is currently trading at $14.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.42 to $14.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OOMA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.36 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OOMA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.36 (+28.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$12.42 -
$14.40
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($18.36)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.42 -
$14.40
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.85
(6.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.41
Resistance Level
$14.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.34
Wall Street Target
$18.36
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.18
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.06
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.95
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$14.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$56.10
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 25.8%)
$28.47
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 25.8%)
$24.20
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.33
Bull Case
$16.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$14.04
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$10.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.62
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shigeyuki Hamamatsu
SELL
10790 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced OOMA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OOMA price and gamma walls.
