OPCH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OPCH - Option Care Health, Inc. Common Stock
$21.90
0.86 (4.09%)
▲
5d:
+1.96%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
-17.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPCH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPCH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.01
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.09
16.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPCH is currently trading at $21.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.62 to $21.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPCH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: OPCH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.58 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPCH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: OPCH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.58 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.62 -
$21.75
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($28.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.62 -
$21.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.87
Resistance Level
$21.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$28.58
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.91
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$18.10
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$16.45
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$21.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$61.57
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$30.20
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$25.67
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$37.06
(+69%)
Analyst growth 60.1%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$33.69
(+54%)
Market implied 60.1%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$14.31
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.10
(+32.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 12:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPCH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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