ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$16.13
1.55 (10.63%)
▲
5d:
+12.72%
30d:
-25.67%
90d:
+17.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ORLA is down 11.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-05-15 with 67 OI. Call ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORLA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ORLA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.07
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $16.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.70 to $19.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.70 -
$19.74
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.70 -
$19.74
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.41
Resistance Level
$15.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.72
Wall Street Target
$15.80
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
176.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.3%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$16.42
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$16.57
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 176.7%)
$125.22
(+676%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 176.7%)
$54.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 176.7%)
$46.27
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.40 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.51
Bull Case
$17.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$14.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$10.86
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Advanced ORLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORLA price and gamma walls.
