ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$15.09
-1.97 (-11.55%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ORLA is down 18.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $22.5 2026-04-17 with 13,415 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.46
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $15.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.58 to $17.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.07, while resistance sits at $20.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.07, while resistance sits at $20.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.58 -
$17.18
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.58 -
$17.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.07
Resistance Level
$20.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$15.80
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
176.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.3%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.52
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$15.73
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 176.7%)
$124.94
(+728%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 176.7%)
$50.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 176.7%)
$43.29
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.05
Bull Case
$18.22
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$15.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$11.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Advanced ORLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORLA price and gamma walls.
