OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$89.16
1.00 (1.13%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 16, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.09
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $89.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.32 to $87.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$82.32 -
$87.89
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($83.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -3.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.32 -
$87.89
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.60
(2.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.96
Resistance Level
$90.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.94
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(-5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.66
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$91.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$92.73
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.2%)
$95.91
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: -10.2%)
$64.27
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -10.2%)
$54.63
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.62
Bull Case
$84.87
(-5%)
Analyst growth -10.9%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$77.15
(-14%)
Market implied -10.9%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$58.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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