OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTTR - Otter Tail Corp
$88.59
0.37 (0.42%)
β²
5d:
+3.72%
30d:
-0.76%
90d:
+9.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.90
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $88.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.41 to $88.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$85.41 -
$88.22
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$85.41 -
$88.22
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.78
Resistance Level
$89.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.55
Wall Street Target
$86.50
(-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.60
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$94.72
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$97.94
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17β15)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.76
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$93.98
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$75.62
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: -5.1%)
$64.28
(-27%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.55
Bull Case
$76.88
(-11%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$69.89
(-19%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$57.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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