OTTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OTTR - Otter Tail Corp

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$88.59
0.37 (0.42%) β–²
5d: +3.72%
30d: -0.76%
90d: +9.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: OTTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.90
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.37
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OTTR is currently trading at $88.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.41 to $88.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OTTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OTTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $85.41 - $88.22
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 1.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $85.41 - $88.22
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.78
Resistance Level $89.77
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.55
Wall Street Target $86.50 (-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.4%
Profit Margin 21.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.4% premium
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 15.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $91.60 (+3%)
2-Year Target $94.72 (+7%)
3-Year Target $97.94 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17β†’15) PE COMPRESSION $88.76 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -5.1%) $93.98 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -5.1%) $75.62 (-15%)
Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: -5.1%) $64.28 (-27%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.55
Bull Case $76.88 (-11%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case $69.89 (-19%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case $57.26 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 04, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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