OXM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXM - Oxford Industries, Inc.
$39.31
0.77 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
+23.27%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
+14.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.01
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXM is currently trading at $39.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.52 to $39.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $39.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OXM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $33.75. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $39.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OXM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $33.75. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$34.52 -
$39.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($33.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.52 -
$39.53
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.86
Resistance Level
$39.41
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.92
Wall Street Target
$33.75
(-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.4%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 12.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.30
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$45.51
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$48.97
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 18.0%)
$89.13
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$64.65
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 18.0%)
$52.00
(+32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Caldecot Chubb III
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-12
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