OXM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXM - Oxford Industries, Inc.
$36.32
1.66 (4.79%)
▲
5d:
+5.43%
30d:
-8.26%
90d:
+5.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.57
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXM is currently trading at $36.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.42 to $39.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $37.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: OXM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $37.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: OXM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$34.42 -
$39.71
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($33.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.1% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.42 -
$39.71
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.92
(8.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.42
Resistance Level
$37.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.78
Wall Street Target
$33.75
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.4%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 11.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.17
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$40.12
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$42.17
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.0%)
$96.84
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 18.0%)
$59.73
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$50.77
(+40%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Caldecot Chubb III
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-12
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