PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$54.60
-8.69 (-13.73%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
18d
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6 traders called PAAS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PAAS is down 15.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PAAS is down 15.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.12
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $54.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.19 to $60.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$52.19 -
$60.94
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.38)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.7% growth expectation is conservative given 182% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.19 -
$60.94
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.35
Resistance Level
$69.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.46
Wall Street Target
$60.38
(-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
181.7%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.53
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$72.05
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$76.88
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 65.7%)
$272.83
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 65.7%)
$213.60
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 65.7%)
$176.18
(+178%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.73
Bull Case
$141.48
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$128.62
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$43.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
