PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$241.22
-1.90 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+3.4%
30d:
-7.49%
90d:
-11.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$532.33
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$330.54
27.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $241.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.23 to $266.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.84, while resistance sits at $252.57.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $272.64 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.84, while resistance sits at $252.57.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $272.64 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$229.23 -
$266.32
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($272.64)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$229.23 -
$266.32
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.84
Resistance Level
$252.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.20
Wall Street Target
$272.64
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
187.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$195.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$175.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$251.75
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.2%)
$608.11
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.2%)
$359.19
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 14.2%)
$305.32
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.08
Bull Case
$423.15
(+81%)
Analyst growth 64.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$384.69
(+65%)
Market implied 64.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$158.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$345.34
(+43.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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