PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$248.57
1.70 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
-0.74%
30d:
+2.9%
90d:
-5.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$526.70
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$327.04
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $248.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.22 to $257.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $252.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $252.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$231.22 -
$257.64
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($272.64)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$231.22 -
$257.64
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.84
Resistance Level
$252.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$272.64
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
187.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$223.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$201.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$181.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$249.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.2%)
$608.11
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 14.2%)
$370.14
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 14.2%)
$314.62
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.08
Bull Case
$423.15
(+81%)
Analyst growth 64.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$384.69
(+65%)
Market implied 64.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$158.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$341.69
(+37.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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