PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$274.91
-3.61 (-1.30%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.20
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.41
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $274.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.40 to $277.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $254.55, while resistance sits at $287.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $254.55, while resistance sits at $287.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$263.40 -
$277.31
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($261.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$263.40 -
$277.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$254.55
Resistance Level
$287.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.08
Wall Street Target
$261.57
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
28.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$280.75
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$282.99
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$285.26
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$278.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$344.98
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$333.39
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$283.38
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.54
Bull Case
$326.21
(+17%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$296.55
(+7%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$192.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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