PARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PARR - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$37.74
1.27 (3.48%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PARR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PARR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.05
Based on -15.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PARR is currently trading at $37.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.22 to $37.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $39.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PARR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.50 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $39.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PARR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.50 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.22 -
$37.38
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($45.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.22 -
$37.38
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.37
Resistance Level
$39.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$45.50
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3869.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.13
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$37.79
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$38.48
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -34.6%)
$61.53
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -34.6%)
$26.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -34.6%)
$22.60
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$30.95
(-15%)
Analyst growth -19.8%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$28.14
(-23%)
Market implied -19.8%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$23.85
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Clossey
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-15
Ivan Daniel Guerra
SELL
5500 shares
2025-09-02
Jeffrey Ryan Hollis
SELL
5228 shares
2025-09-02
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PARR price and gamma walls.
